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Posts Tagged ‘The Weather Channel’

Atlantic hurricane season 2011 begins Wednesday

Posted by Hurricane Expert on May 31, 2011

hurricane season 2011

The 2011 Atlantic hurricane season is here and is predicted to be an active one similar to last year. Contrary to some reports, this is not due to warmer than normal water in the Atlantic nor is a result from climate change. A large area of warmer than normal water may have some part in a more active hurricane season, but is not the overriding factor. Global weather weather patterns influenced by El Nino and La Nina as well as major a ocean circulation in the Atlantic are much larger features.

The number of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin are also cyclical. We have been in an “up” cycle since the mid 1990’s and will likely be in this cycle for another 10-15 years.

Regardless, of the amount of hurricanes expected, you should be finishing preseason hurricane preparedness. Here are some helpful tips on how to do just that: – Preseason hurricane preparedness

Don’t get caught without properly preparing for this hurricane season. Now is the time to prepare, not two days before a hurricane strikes!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about hurricanes
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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2011 hurricane season prediction

Posted by Hurricane Expert on May 9, 2011

Windwards / Leewards

My colleagues Dr. Phil Klotzback and Dr. Bill Gray announced at the hurricane conference in Atlanta that they are predicting 16 tropical storms of which 9 will become hurricanes and 5 will become major hurricanes. The long term average for hurrianes in the Atlantic basin are 10 tropical storms of which 6 become hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.

A major hurricane is one considered a category 3,4 or 5 on ths Saffir – Simpson hurriane wind scale. Winds must be at least 111 mph sustained to be classified as a category 3. Remember, simply because we are expecting more hurricanes does not mean more landfalls. It does increase the risk though. Stay vigilant – stay prepared.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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Time to get out of the snow and to the beaches in Florida

Posted by Hurricane Expert on January 6, 2011

Snow Dogs

Florida beach water temperatures for January

After a number of cold fronts, the water temperatures have dropped off in Florida. There has been a slight rebound over the past few days though. As of now beach water temperatures are in the 50’s (brrrr!) on the northwest coast from Pensacola to St. George Island….. and on the northeast coast ( 1st coast and space coast for locals ) from Fernandina beach south to Cape Canaveral.

Water temps are in the 60’s on the sun coast of Florida from Clearwater beach south to Sanibel island as well as on the east coast from Cape Canaveral south to about Stuart.

The warmest water is found from Key West to Stuart where it is in the 70’s. Typically in the winter the warmest water can be found near West Palm beach to Miami where the Gulf Stream nips the coast. It is not unusual to find water temperatures in mid to upper 70’s offshore in the Gulf Stream.

The forecast over the next couple of weeks calls for some strong cold fronts to sweep by. If so, the water temperatures could take a sharp drop, except for the extreme southeastern tip of florida.

Enjoy the water! Keep an eye on the tropics on my Tropicalweather.net weather message board. Please join the conversation!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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2010 Atlantic hurricane season summary

Posted by Hurricane Expert on November 9, 2010

Hurricane Season 2010 summary

The 2010 Atlantic hurricane season turned out to be another busy one, keeping with the trend of more than the last 15 years. Four tropical cyclones gave the U.S. some effects. The most notable was from tropical storm Hermine which brought 5-10+ inches of rain to south and central Texas. There were no direct hits from hurricanes this season in the U.S.. Earl brushed the eastern coast with only a couple of gusts to near hurricane force on Cape Hatteras. Alex hit northeastern Mexico as a category two hurricane, but was a small tropical cyclone. Because of this, the wind damage remained in Mexico. South Texas did see some winds to tropical storm force, but most of the impacts were from locally heavy rainfall in extreme south Texas. Tropical storm Bonnie made landfall in south Florida early in the season with minimal effects. Overall, despite being a busy season, the U.S. fared well. Most of the tropical cyclones traveled the familiar route around the Bermuda high in the open Atlantic ocean.
Keep an eye on the tropics on my Tropicalweather.net weather message board.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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Tropical cyclone to develop in Caribbean this week?

Posted by Hurricane Expert on September 27, 2010

Tropical Weather

Tropical Weather

For many days now the forecast models have been hinting at a tropical cyclone developing in the northwest Caribbean. We had Matthew move into Honduras and Nicaragua a few days ago and now is slowly “spinning down” in southern Mexico. It continues to bring heavy rain.

It now appears that one or two tropical cyclones will develop in the northwest Caribbean this week and move across western Cuba and in the direction of south Florida. The first may be a tropical or subtropical system that develops and moves along the southeast coast of Florida and is due to move north toward the Carolinas along a stalled front.

After this system, the models are still developing another tropical system that may also move across western Cuba and north toward the general direction of south Florida or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Remember, longer range forecasts are subject to larger errors. It’s certainly worth keeping an eye on though. I will update my tropical weather forecasts as usual on my Tropicalweather.net weather message board. See you there!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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Peak of hurricane season

Posted by Hurricane Expert on September 15, 2010

Igor, Julia, Karl

Igor / Julia / Karl

September 10th is the climatological peak of the north Atlantic hurricane season. This year holds true with three tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin at this time. As of Wednesday morning, tropical storm Karl is about to make landfall south of Cozumel, Mexico. Hurricanes Igor and Julia are major hurricanes over the open Atlantic water. Igor will need to be watched though as forecasts call for it to come close to Bermuda by Sunday. Julia should remain over the open Atlantic waters.

Check out my forecasts below on my tropicalweather.net message boards if you will be taking a cruise or just have an interest in hurricanes. Thanks!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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Tropical system developing in southeastern Gulf of Mexico

Posted by Hurricane Expert on August 10, 2010

Tropical Disturbance

A low pressure system is develping in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. This unsettled weather was created by an upper air low pressure center. If one of these upper lows sits over warm water long enough they can transform into a tropical cyclone. It appears that this may be the case. Weather forecast models drift this tropical disturbance northwest toward the northcentral Gulf of Mexico over the next few days. It is forecast to strengthen before landfall. All interests in the northcentral gulf should follow the latest developments.

Join us at tropicalweather.net to get the latest information or chat on our message boards.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel
Weather / Hurricane Message boards

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How warm is the beach water now in Florida?

Posted by Hurricane Expert on March 30, 2010

Dolphin

Dolphin

If you’re heading to the beach for spring break you may want to know exactly how cold that beach water is. Water temperatures are generally still fairly cold in early April for most of Florida. Recent reports show water temperatures in the low 60’s near Destin and Panama City Beach. Likewise the east coast from St. Augustine to Daytona Beach have been in the upper 50’s. Cocoa Beach a little farther south has been in the low 60’s. The warmest beach water temperatures are near West Palm Beach with readings in the mid 70’s. Miami’s South Beach and the Florida Keys have been in the low 70’s. Upper 60’s have been common on the sun coast. Keep in mind the water can warm fast this time of year. Check our link at the bottom for the most recent water temperatures. They are updated about once a week. Also please check out our weather forum and ask your weather questions there.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

More about Rich Johnson…
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Tropical Weather / Hurricane Forecasts / Travel
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
weather channel

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Important changes to know about this upcoming hurricane season

Posted by Hurricane Expert on February 22, 2010

The National Hurricane Center is going to be doing things a little bit differently this season. There have been some changes to the way watches and warnings are disseminated to the public. I have written a short summary and have included a link on my tropical weather message board under the “eye of the storm” forum.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

More about Rich Johnson…
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Tropical Weather / Hurricane Forecasts / Travel
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
weather channel

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Nor’easter to batter snow weary region Feb 10-11

Posted by Hurricane Expert on February 9, 2010

Nor'easter Feb 10-11

Nor'easter Feb 10-11

The Mid-Atlantic is about to get blasted by another blizzard. Old Man Winter is kicking the new kid on the block – global warming out of town. The latest forecast calls for another 12-18 inches of snow from Washington D.C. to Baltimore to Philadelphia then northward past New York City and Boston. This time is will be more of the typical snow storm track with all of the Northeast U.S. coast getting battered. Previous storms left New York City and Boston with little snow at all. The December blizzard and early February blizzard hit the Mid-Atlantic hard but the storm track steered the heavy snow out to sea after that. Cold weather is locked in for another couple of weeks after the storm.

Last weeks epic snow event left a massive amount of snow from the mountains of West Virginia to Washington D.C. to Baltimore to Philadelphia region. 30-40 inches of snow fell in this zone with thundersnow being reported in the hardest hit regions. This storm ns some cases was probably the all time worst on record, for other loccations a near miss, coming in second or third place for most snow.

It is ironic that with Global Warming being such a hot topic in DC that the politicians have been visited with these crippling snowstorms. There’s still time to predict another ice age reminiscent of the 1970’s right?

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

More about Rich Johnson…
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Tropical Weather / Hurricane Forecasts / Travel
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
weather channel

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