Posts Tagged ‘hurricane’
Posted by Hurricane Expert on August 25, 2011

Hurricane Irene over the northeastern Bahamas
Hurricane Irene is not actually a cat 3 hurricane at this point. Hurricane Hunter recon aircraft and IR satellite imagery do not support this strength. The Hurricane Center is likely keeping the wind up for the sake of continuity. Hurricane Irene is still expected to strengthen and move north toward the U.S. east coast. This will not only be a hurricane that affects the coast, but large cities from Washington D.C. to Boston. New York City as well.
Be sure to check out my forecasts on the message boards at Tropicalweather.net. Also, it you are a fan of facebook check out my tropicalweathr.net facebook page and hit “like” – thanks!
Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Posted in travel, Weather | Tagged: carnival cruise, hurricane, hurricane center, hurricane forecast, Hurricane Irene, new york ciy forecast, The Weather Channel, tropical storm, Tropicalweather.net, Weather, weather channel, weather forecast | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Hurricane Expert on August 24, 2011

Irene in the Bahamas
Irene is strengthening rapidly today as it moves into the central Bahamas. It is likely to affect the eastern U.S. coast especially from North Carolina to New England. I will be busy updating my forecasts. Be sure to check out my forecasts on the message boards at Tropicalweather.net. Also, it you are a fan of facebook check out my tropicalweathr.net facebook page and hit “like” – thanks!
Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Posted in travel, Weather | Tagged: accu weather, caribbean, caribbean travel, caribbean weather, cruise forecast, cruises, ezine articles, hurricane, hurricane forecast, Hurricane Irene, jeff masters, The Weather Channel, Tropicalweather.net, Weather, weather channel, weather forecast, weather underground | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Hurricane Expert on August 21, 2011

Irene near the Leewards
Tropical storm Irene will be disturbing travelers and residents of the northern Caribbean, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos and U.S. eastern seaboard over the next seven days. The track of Irene will be extremely important. As of this time, it appears that the track of Irene will take it over the northern Antilles then over or just east of Florida. The more land Irene encounters the more the circulation will get disturbed and inhibit development, especially Hispaniola (Dominican Republic and Haiti). A big concern is still the potential for flash flooding in Haiti where there is a history of large loss of life from tropical cyclones.
For interests in the U.S. the more favorable track would be directly up the Florida peninsula and into the Southeastern U.S. This would allow for beneficial rain and stop any further development. Keep in mind that there would possibly be problems with flash flooding, isolated tornadoes and wind / surge damage farther south. If Irene stays a little east of Florida, strengthening would continue increasing the damage potential from Florida into the Southeastern / Mid-Atlantic states.
It would be wise to follow the progress of Irene if you live or will be traveling in these threat areas. Remember – now is the time to prepare for the possible impacts from a hurricane, not the day before! Be safe and God bless!
Be sure to check out my forecasts on the message boards at Tropicalweather.net
Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Posted in travel, Weather | Tagged: caribbean, caribbean weather, carnival cruise, cruise forecast, disney world, florida weather, hurricane, hurricane center, hurricane forecast, jamaica, royal caribbean cruise, tropical storm, tropicalweather, Tropicalweather.net, weather alert, weather channel, weather forecast | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Hurricane Expert on August 3, 2011

Tropical storm Emily
Tropical storm Emily has been badly sheared and is not as strong as indicated. It this is the case it will head farther west than all of the models that you have been shown on TV. Check out my tropicalweather.net website for the latest on EMily.
Be sure to check out my forecasts at Tropicalweather.net
Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about hurricanes
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel
Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: caribbean, caribbean travel, cruise forecast, cruises, disney world, hurricane, hurricane center, jamaica weather, tropical storm, tropicalweather, Weather, weather channel, weather forecast | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Hurricane Expert on July 31, 2011

Emily Forming east of Antilles
The next named tropical system is well on its way. It is several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles this morning. The forecast track takes it into the Leewards over the next 2-3 days. After that, most models predict it to recurve east of the Bahamas with a few taking it into the Bahamas by next weekend. Keep in mind that the low hasn’t quite formed yet. Because of this forecast models can have significant errors.
Speculation has already started and no doubt the media outlets will be cranking up the hype machines to draw in big ratings money. To the media – remember… hurricanes hype themselves – stay calm – you can serve the public better that way!
Be sure to check out my forecasts at Tropicalweather.net
Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about hurricanes
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel
Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: bahamas, bermuda, caribbean, caribbean travel, caribbean weather, cruise forecast, disney world, ezine articles, florida weather, hurricane, hurricane center, hurricane forecast, jamaica, jamaica weather, royal caribbean cruise, The Weather Channel, tropical storm, tropicalweather, Tropicalweather.net, Weather, weather channel, weather forecast | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Hurricane Expert on July 7, 2011

Calvin west of Mexico
So far it looks like the Atlantic hurricane basin is heading to an average season as the european forecasters have said. Granted that it could change fast at any time though. If you recall, U.S. forecasters were calling for another above average year. At this time we have had one tropical storm which is average for early July.
As of now an unclassified tropical cyclone is churning in the eastern Pacific and will definitely be named by the hurricane center later today. As of my estimate it is now a tropical depression and will be a storm this afternoon.
For the Caribbean travelers – there are no imminent threats but still unsettled weather. A string of upper air troughs is creasting some heavy showers from the northwest Caribbean to Puerto Rico and the Leewards. Enjoy your cruises, even it there is a (little) rain.
Be sure to check out my forecasts at Tropicalweather.net
Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about hurricanes
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel
Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: acapulco, Acapulco travel, bahamas, beach water temperatures, cabo san lucas, caribbean, caribbean weather, carnival cruise, Cayman islands weather, cozumel weather, cruise forecast, disney world, ezine articles, florida weather, hurricane, hurricane center, jamaica, The Weather Channel, tropical storm, weather alert, weather channel, weather forecast | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Hurricane Expert on June 23, 2011
Tropical forecast models have been insisting that a tropical cyclone will form in the northwestern Caribbean or western Gulf over the next several days. The models generally take the system toward the Texas coast or northwestern Mexican east coast. Remember forecast models can be fickle. We are watching them closely but are not too concerned at this time. Interests on the Texas coast over the next week should keep an eye on this system.
Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about hurricanes
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel
Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: beach water temperatures, cancun weather, caribbean travel, caribbean weather, cruise forecast, hurricane, mexico travel, mexico weather, tropicalweather, Weather, weather alert, weather channel, weather forecast | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Hurricane Expert on June 11, 2011
This slideshow requires JavaScript.
Hurricane Adrian started the eastern Pacific hurricane season with a bang. It strengthened into a category 4 hurricane west of Mexico to 140 mph late Thursday into early Friday. It ran the “typical” route for a hurricane in the eastern Pacific basin where it formed in the monsoon trough south of Mexico and moved on a west northwesterly course. It encounted colder water which robbed its energy source and weakened rapidly. The slideshow shows different satellite perspectives of Adrian: Visible, I.R. and Rainbow enhancement.
Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about hurricanes
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel
Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: acapulco, Acapulco travel, cabo san lucas, cabo san lucas travel, hurricane, hurricane center, hurricane forecast, Mexico, mexico travel, mexico weather, royal caribbean cruise, Tropicalweather.net, weather alert, weather channel, weather forecast | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Hurricane Expert on May 31, 2011

hurricane season 2011
The 2011 Atlantic hurricane season is here and is predicted to be an active one similar to last year. Contrary to some reports, this is not due to warmer than normal water in the Atlantic nor is a result from climate change. A large area of warmer than normal water may have some part in a more active hurricane season, but is not the overriding factor. Global weather weather patterns influenced by El Nino and La Nina as well as major a ocean circulation in the Atlantic are much larger features.
The number of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin are also cyclical. We have been in an “up” cycle since the mid 1990’s and will likely be in this cycle for another 10-15 years.
Regardless, of the amount of hurricanes expected, you should be finishing preseason hurricane preparedness. Here are some helpful tips on how to do just that: – Preseason hurricane preparedness
Don’t get caught without properly preparing for this hurricane season. Now is the time to prepare, not two days before a hurricane strikes!
Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about hurricanes
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel
Posted in Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: bermuda, caribbean, caribbean weather, Cayman islands weather, ezine articles, florida weather, hawaii weather, hurricane, hurricane center, hurricane forecast, hurricane preparedness, jamaica, jamaica weather, mexico travel, mexico weather, The Weather Channel, tropicalweather, weather alert, weather channel, weather forecast | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Hurricane Expert on May 9, 2011

Windwards / Leewards
My colleagues Dr. Phil Klotzback and Dr. Bill Gray announced at the hurricane conference in Atlanta that they are predicting 16 tropical storms of which 9 will become hurricanes and 5 will become major hurricanes. The long term average for hurrianes in the Atlantic basin are 10 tropical storms of which 6 become hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.
A major hurricane is one considered a category 3,4 or 5 on ths Saffir – Simpson hurriane wind scale. Winds must be at least 111 mph sustained to be classified as a category 3. Remember, simply because we are expecting more hurricanes does not mean more landfalls. It does increase the risk though. Stay vigilant – stay prepared.
Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel
Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: bahamas, beach water temperatures, caribbean, caribbean travel, caribbean weather, carnival cruise, disney world, ezine articles, florida weather, hawaii weather, hurricane, hurricane center, hurricane forecast, jamaica weather, mexico weather, The Weather Channel, tropical storm, tropicalweather, Tropicalweather.net, weather alert, weather channel, weather forecast | Leave a Comment »