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Posts Tagged ‘global warming’

It looks like another year without a Florida hurricane

Posted by Hurricane Expert on November 10, 2014

Another year without a Florida Hurricane?

The last time a hurricane hit the state of Florida was back in October of 2005. That was nine years ago. That was also of course the last time a major hurricane hit the state too. According to the long term average the north Atlantic hurricane season produces 9 tropical storms of which 5 become hurricanes and 2 become major hurricanes. More recently, since 1995-2013 the average have jumped upwards. During that time period there was an average of 15 named storms of which 8 became hurricanes and 4 became major hurricanes.

Is it possible that was now settling back to “normal” condition? As of mid November, there have been 7 tropical storms of which 6 became hurricanes and of those 2 major hurricanes. With this being said, Hurricanes, Bertha, Christobal, and Fay may not even have been truly hurricanes. Each was classified as a hurricane for a very short period of time. If this was the case, the hurricane season would have produced 7 tropical storms of which only 3 became hurricanes.

Hurricane activity in the north Atlantic basin fluctuates will periods of higher tropical cyclone activity roughly every 15-25 years. Is it possible that we are just heading back into a lower activity period? One thing that can be stated with confidence, is that Global Warming has not contributed to the higher than average activity over the past 20 years. It is normal for climate to fluctuate. Hopefully, Florida and the rest of the U.S. coastline will see less landfalls in the upcoming years!

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