Hurricane and Travel Blog

Discussions about hurricanes and tropical destinations

  • Blog Stats

    • 8,537 hits
  • Tropicalweather.net

Posts Tagged ‘florida weather’

2011 hurricane season prediction

Posted by Hurricane Expert on May 9, 2011

Windwards / Leewards

My colleagues Dr. Phil Klotzback and Dr. Bill Gray announced at the hurricane conference in Atlanta that they are predicting 16 tropical storms of which 9 will become hurricanes and 5 will become major hurricanes. The long term average for hurrianes in the Atlantic basin are 10 tropical storms of which 6 become hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.

A major hurricane is one considered a category 3,4 or 5 on ths Saffir – Simpson hurriane wind scale. Winds must be at least 111 mph sustained to be classified as a category 3. Remember, simply because we are expecting more hurricanes does not mean more landfalls. It does increase the risk though. Stay vigilant – stay prepared.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Spring break is here!

Posted by Hurricane Expert on March 11, 2011

Southern California

If you are heading to the beaches of Florida, southern California, or northwest Bahamas check out the latest water temperatures. Generally beach water temperatures can be cold this time of year except for south Florida. Check Tropicalweather.net for the latest beach water temperature for your favorite spring break location!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Time to get out of the snow and to the beaches in Florida

Posted by Hurricane Expert on January 6, 2011

Snow Dogs

Florida beach water temperatures for January

After a number of cold fronts, the water temperatures have dropped off in Florida. There has been a slight rebound over the past few days though. As of now beach water temperatures are in the 50’s (brrrr!) on the northwest coast from Pensacola to St. George Island….. and on the northeast coast ( 1st coast and space coast for locals ) from Fernandina beach south to Cape Canaveral.

Water temps are in the 60’s on the sun coast of Florida from Clearwater beach south to Sanibel island as well as on the east coast from Cape Canaveral south to about Stuart.

The warmest water is found from Key West to Stuart where it is in the 70’s. Typically in the winter the warmest water can be found near West Palm beach to Miami where the Gulf Stream nips the coast. It is not unusual to find water temperatures in mid to upper 70’s offshore in the Gulf Stream.

The forecast over the next couple of weeks calls for some strong cold fronts to sweep by. If so, the water temperatures could take a sharp drop, except for the extreme southeastern tip of florida.

Enjoy the water! Keep an eye on the tropics on my Tropicalweather.net weather message board. Please join the conversation!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

2010 Atlantic hurricane season summary

Posted by Hurricane Expert on November 9, 2010

Hurricane Season 2010 summary

The 2010 Atlantic hurricane season turned out to be another busy one, keeping with the trend of more than the last 15 years. Four tropical cyclones gave the U.S. some effects. The most notable was from tropical storm Hermine which brought 5-10+ inches of rain to south and central Texas. There were no direct hits from hurricanes this season in the U.S.. Earl brushed the eastern coast with only a couple of gusts to near hurricane force on Cape Hatteras. Alex hit northeastern Mexico as a category two hurricane, but was a small tropical cyclone. Because of this, the wind damage remained in Mexico. South Texas did see some winds to tropical storm force, but most of the impacts were from locally heavy rainfall in extreme south Texas. Tropical storm Bonnie made landfall in south Florida early in the season with minimal effects. Overall, despite being a busy season, the U.S. fared well. Most of the tropical cyclones traveled the familiar route around the Bermuda high in the open Atlantic ocean.
Keep an eye on the tropics on my Tropicalweather.net weather message board.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Tropical cyclone to develop in Caribbean this week?

Posted by Hurricane Expert on September 27, 2010

Tropical Weather

Tropical Weather

For many days now the forecast models have been hinting at a tropical cyclone developing in the northwest Caribbean. We had Matthew move into Honduras and Nicaragua a few days ago and now is slowly “spinning down” in southern Mexico. It continues to bring heavy rain.

It now appears that one or two tropical cyclones will develop in the northwest Caribbean this week and move across western Cuba and in the direction of south Florida. The first may be a tropical or subtropical system that develops and moves along the southeast coast of Florida and is due to move north toward the Carolinas along a stalled front.

After this system, the models are still developing another tropical system that may also move across western Cuba and north toward the general direction of south Florida or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Remember, longer range forecasts are subject to larger errors. It’s certainly worth keeping an eye on though. I will update my tropical weather forecasts as usual on my Tropicalweather.net weather message board. See you there!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Peak of hurricane season

Posted by Hurricane Expert on September 15, 2010

Igor, Julia, Karl

Igor / Julia / Karl

September 10th is the climatological peak of the north Atlantic hurricane season. This year holds true with three tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin at this time. As of Wednesday morning, tropical storm Karl is about to make landfall south of Cozumel, Mexico. Hurricanes Igor and Julia are major hurricanes over the open Atlantic water. Igor will need to be watched though as forecasts call for it to come close to Bermuda by Sunday. Julia should remain over the open Atlantic waters.

Check out my forecasts below on my tropicalweather.net message boards if you will be taking a cruise or just have an interest in hurricanes. Thanks!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Get ready for Earl on the east coast / Fiona in the Leewards

Posted by Hurricane Expert on August 31, 2010

earl and fiona

Earl and Fiona

Hurricane Earl is turning up the eastern seaboard over the next few days. It will be close to Cape Hatteras, Long Island and Cape Cod this week. Also, tropical storm Fiona will be near the Leewards Wednesday.

I will be updating my forecasts on my Tropicalweather.net website. Also, keep an eye out for my new iphone app TW weather…. where you can access the same great information while on the go. I’m hoping it will be out be later this week.
Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Tropical system developing in southeastern Gulf of Mexico

Posted by Hurricane Expert on August 10, 2010

Tropical Disturbance

A low pressure system is develping in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. This unsettled weather was created by an upper air low pressure center. If one of these upper lows sits over warm water long enough they can transform into a tropical cyclone. It appears that this may be the case. Weather forecast models drift this tropical disturbance northwest toward the northcentral Gulf of Mexico over the next few days. It is forecast to strengthen before landfall. All interests in the northcentral gulf should follow the latest developments.

Join us at tropicalweather.net to get the latest information or chat on our message boards.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel
Weather / Hurricane Message boards

Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Tropical storm Colin

Posted by Hurricane Expert on August 3, 2010

Tropical Storm Colin

Colin is fighting wind shear and is barely hanging on as a tropical storm. Forecasts indicate that Colin will continue to fight wind shear and is not predicted to reach hurricane status over the next several days. In fact, the wind shear will keep it fighting for survival for a while.

Colin’s track will take it a little northeast of the Leewards in about a day then start to recurve offshore of the eastern seabaord. Some forecasts take it east to near Bermuda, others considerable closer to the U.S. coast. Remember, forecasts estimates several days out have the greater chance of error.

Join me on the tropicalweather.net message boards to follow Colin or leave your own weather comments!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel
Weather / Hurricane Message boards

Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Atlantic Hurricane season starts June 1

Posted by Hurricane Expert on May 27, 2010

Greg Long, Jamie Sterling

Greg Long, Jamie Sterling Surfing

The Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1.

NOAA predicts as many as 23 named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season, with three to seven becoming serious enough to be classified as major hurricanes. The agency worries that as many as 14 could turn into hurricanes.

On average, 10 storms are named of which 6 become hurricanes,, of those 2-3 become major hurricanes which is a category 3,4 or 5. Since 1997, the averages have increased to about 15 named storms of which 8 become hurricanes and of those 4 major hurricanes.

The reasoning behind the forecast is due to the fact that El Nino has weakened and a La Nina may be forming. There is a slight correlation between a La Nina event and upswing in activity.

Check my website on the latest hurricane forecasts. We simply do not copy the National Hurricane Center’s forecasts. We make our own forecasts and add expert opinion to the Hurricane Center’s forecast also. Check Tropicalweather.net’s forecasts before traveling to the tropics during hurricane season!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

More about Rich Johnson…
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Tropical Weather / Hurricane Forecasts / Travel
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
weather channel

Posted in travel, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »