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Posts Tagged ‘cozumel weather’

Beryl now gone, Atlantic hurricane season begins…..

Posted by Hurricane Expert on May 31, 2012

Beryl rainfall

Even before the official start of the Atlantic 2012 hurricane season, we have seen two tropical storms. Many years there is no activity up to this point. Tropical storms Alberto and Beryl both formed off of the Southeastern U.S. coast before eventually moving northeast into the Atlantic.

Is this a sign of a very busy season? Probably not, but the extended tropical prognositcations have been wrong before. Season forecasts suggest a “normal” amount of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin compared with what has been observed over the past few decades.

I will be doing something a little different this year. I have a iphone / ipad app called The Global Travel Forecast. I produce 3 day video forecasts for different regions around the globe. One of the regions is the Caribbean where I cover tropical weather. You can also get that same forecast on my tropicalweather.net site. Please tell your friends to stop by. Thanks!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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Recap of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Posted by Hurricane Expert on February 6, 2012

2011 Atlantic hurricane season recap


Before we start thinking about the upcoming hurricane season, let’s take a look back….

The 2011 Atlantic hurricane season produced 19 tropical storms of which seven became hurricanes. Of those seven hurricanes four became major hurricanes. As a reminder, a major hurricane is signified as a category three or higher on the Saffir-Simpson wind scale. ( winds of 111 mph or stronger ).

The United States was fortunate again, making this the six year in a row that there was not a landfalling major hurricane. The last was hurricane Wilma in 2005 when it hit southwest Florida in late October.

The hurricane season took an unusual start. There were eight tropical storms before a hurricane formed. That was Hurricane Irene which affected the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern U.S. Two tropical storms did hit the U.S. in 2011. Don moved into south Texas in late July and Lee hit the central Louisiana coast in early September.

It was interesting to note that Bermuda was surrounded by several tropical cyclones but none made a direct hit. Powerful Ophelia steered well to the east sparing the island.

We’ll take a look at the upcoming 2012 hurricane season at a later date.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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Calvin in the Pacific – Caribbean unsettled

Posted by Hurricane Expert on July 7, 2011

Calvin

Calvin west of Mexico

So far it looks like the Atlantic hurricane basin is heading to an average season as the european forecasters have said. Granted that it could change fast at any time though. If you recall, U.S. forecasters were calling for another above average year. At this time we have had one tropical storm which is average for early July.

As of now an unclassified tropical cyclone is churning in the eastern Pacific and will definitely be named by the hurricane center later today. As of my estimate it is now a tropical depression and will be a storm this afternoon.

For the Caribbean travelers – there are no imminent threats but still unsettled weather. A string of upper air troughs is creasting some heavy showers from the northwest Caribbean to Puerto Rico and the Leewards. Enjoy your cruises, even it there is a (little) rain.

Be sure to check out my forecasts at Tropicalweather.net

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about hurricanes
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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Spring break is here!

Posted by Hurricane Expert on March 11, 2011

Southern California

If you are heading to the beaches of Florida, southern California, or northwest Bahamas check out the latest water temperatures. Generally beach water temperatures can be cold this time of year except for south Florida. Check Tropicalweather.net for the latest beach water temperature for your favorite spring break location!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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Tropical cyclone to develop in Caribbean this week?

Posted by Hurricane Expert on September 27, 2010

Tropical Weather

Tropical Weather

For many days now the forecast models have been hinting at a tropical cyclone developing in the northwest Caribbean. We had Matthew move into Honduras and Nicaragua a few days ago and now is slowly “spinning down” in southern Mexico. It continues to bring heavy rain.

It now appears that one or two tropical cyclones will develop in the northwest Caribbean this week and move across western Cuba and in the direction of south Florida. The first may be a tropical or subtropical system that develops and moves along the southeast coast of Florida and is due to move north toward the Carolinas along a stalled front.

After this system, the models are still developing another tropical system that may also move across western Cuba and north toward the general direction of south Florida or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Remember, longer range forecasts are subject to larger errors. It’s certainly worth keeping an eye on though. I will update my tropical weather forecasts as usual on my Tropicalweather.net weather message board. See you there!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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Peak of hurricane season

Posted by Hurricane Expert on September 15, 2010

Igor, Julia, Karl

Igor / Julia / Karl

September 10th is the climatological peak of the north Atlantic hurricane season. This year holds true with three tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin at this time. As of Wednesday morning, tropical storm Karl is about to make landfall south of Cozumel, Mexico. Hurricanes Igor and Julia are major hurricanes over the open Atlantic water. Igor will need to be watched though as forecasts call for it to come close to Bermuda by Sunday. Julia should remain over the open Atlantic waters.

Check out my forecasts below on my tropicalweather.net message boards if you will be taking a cruise or just have an interest in hurricanes. Thanks!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Starts Saturday

Posted by Hurricane Expert on May 12, 2010

caribbean beach

Caribbean Beach

That’s right, hurricane season is almost here….for the eastern Pacific. Saturday, May 15 is the start of the hurricane season for places like, Acalpulco, Cabo San Lucas and many other Mexican Resorts on the west coast. Check my hurricane updates on the central and eastern Pacific hurricane season. And just a reminder, the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season starts in two weeks. Make sure you start your preseason preparations now!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

More about Rich Johnson…
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Tropical Weather / Hurricane Forecasts / Travel
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
weather channel

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Important changes to know about this upcoming hurricane season

Posted by Hurricane Expert on February 22, 2010

The National Hurricane Center is going to be doing things a little bit differently this season. There have been some changes to the way watches and warnings are disseminated to the public. I have written a short summary and have included a link on my tropical weather message board under the “eye of the storm” forum.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

More about Rich Johnson…
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Tropical Weather / Hurricane Forecasts / Travel
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
weather channel

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Caribbean weather during the winter

Posted by Hurricane Expert on January 1, 2010

Lazy Shelties

Lazy Shelties

With winter hurricanes and tropical storms becoming an extreme rarity in the Caribbean, what kind of weather can you expect? Usually winter and early spring is the driest time of year in the Caribbean. Rainfall drops from possibly 8-10 inches in the rainy season each month to about an inch or two. Cold fronts can venture well into the Caribbean and bring cooler weather with showers and storms.

Needless to say, with almost no chance of a hurricane and drier weather, the Caribbean is an excellent tourist destination. Why lay around the house like a couple of lazy dogs? Take a trip to the Caribbean.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

More about Me…
Expert Hurricane Forecasts
Tropicalweather.net
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps

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2009 Hurricane Season ending

Posted by Hurricane Expert on November 29, 2009

Florida Beach

The 2009 hurricane season officially ends November 30. This hurricane season fits the mold of the long term averages. For the 2009 season there were 10 named storms of which 3 became hurricanes and of those 2 major hurricanes. A category 3 or higher on the Saffir_Simpson scale is considered major.

In the Atlantic basin, long term averages show that there are about 10 named storms of which 6 become hurricanes and 3 of those major hurricanes. Since 1995 there has been a major upswing in tropical cyclone activity. During this period there has been an average of 15 named storms of which 8 became hurricanes and 4 of those major hurricanes.

The return of El Nino was the likely cause in the decrease in tropical cyclone activity, especially affecting the number of hurricanes that formed. The El Nino causes an increase in wind shear which creates a hostile environment for hurricane development in gerneral.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

More about Me…
Expert Hurricane Forecasts
Tropicalweather.net
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps

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