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Posts Tagged ‘cancun weather’

Beryl now gone, Atlantic hurricane season begins…..

Posted by Hurricane Expert on May 31, 2012

Beryl rainfall

Even before the official start of the Atlantic 2012 hurricane season, we have seen two tropical storms. Many years there is no activity up to this point. Tropical storms Alberto and Beryl both formed off of the Southeastern U.S. coast before eventually moving northeast into the Atlantic.

Is this a sign of a very busy season? Probably not, but the extended tropical prognositcations have been wrong before. Season forecasts suggest a “normal” amount of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin compared with what has been observed over the past few decades.

I will be doing something a little different this year. I have a iphone / ipad app called The Global Travel Forecast. I produce 3 day video forecasts for different regions around the globe. One of the regions is the Caribbean where I cover tropical weather. You can also get that same forecast on my tropicalweather.net site. Please tell your friends to stop by. Thanks!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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First day of the 2012 eastern Pacific hurricane season

Posted by Hurricane Expert on May 15, 2012


The eastern Pacific hurricane season is starting out quickly with a tropical storm well west of Mexico. Tropical storm Aletta actually jumped the gun and formed before the first offical day of the season! I have started my tropical updates as of this morning.

If you recall the Atlantic 2012 hurricane season is supposed to be close to “normal” What is normal? Well, it really depends on what time frame you look at….. more on that at a different time. The point I would like to make is that even if El Niño shows up and decreases activity in the Atlantic; the eastern Pacific still could be busy.

Have a safe vacation season and tell your friends to check out tropicalweather.net for tropical updates! Thanks!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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Recap of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Posted by Hurricane Expert on February 6, 2012

2011 Atlantic hurricane season recap


Before we start thinking about the upcoming hurricane season, let’s take a look back….

The 2011 Atlantic hurricane season produced 19 tropical storms of which seven became hurricanes. Of those seven hurricanes four became major hurricanes. As a reminder, a major hurricane is signified as a category three or higher on the Saffir-Simpson wind scale. ( winds of 111 mph or stronger ).

The United States was fortunate again, making this the six year in a row that there was not a landfalling major hurricane. The last was hurricane Wilma in 2005 when it hit southwest Florida in late October.

The hurricane season took an unusual start. There were eight tropical storms before a hurricane formed. That was Hurricane Irene which affected the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern U.S. Two tropical storms did hit the U.S. in 2011. Don moved into south Texas in late July and Lee hit the central Louisiana coast in early September.

It was interesting to note that Bermuda was surrounded by several tropical cyclones but none made a direct hit. Powerful Ophelia steered well to the east sparing the island.

We’ll take a look at the upcoming 2012 hurricane season at a later date.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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First official tropical system may try to form over next serval days in Gulf

Posted by Hurricane Expert on June 23, 2011

Tropical forecast models have been insisting that a tropical cyclone will form in the northwestern Caribbean or western Gulf over the next several days. The models generally take the system toward the Texas coast or northwestern Mexican east coast. Remember forecast models can be fickle. We are watching them closely but are not too concerned at this time. Interests on the Texas coast over the next week should keep an eye on this system.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about hurricanes
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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Time to get out of the snow and to the beaches in Florida

Posted by Hurricane Expert on January 6, 2011

Snow Dogs

Florida beach water temperatures for January

After a number of cold fronts, the water temperatures have dropped off in Florida. There has been a slight rebound over the past few days though. As of now beach water temperatures are in the 50’s (brrrr!) on the northwest coast from Pensacola to St. George Island….. and on the northeast coast ( 1st coast and space coast for locals ) from Fernandina beach south to Cape Canaveral.

Water temps are in the 60’s on the sun coast of Florida from Clearwater beach south to Sanibel island as well as on the east coast from Cape Canaveral south to about Stuart.

The warmest water is found from Key West to Stuart where it is in the 70’s. Typically in the winter the warmest water can be found near West Palm beach to Miami where the Gulf Stream nips the coast. It is not unusual to find water temperatures in mid to upper 70’s offshore in the Gulf Stream.

The forecast over the next couple of weeks calls for some strong cold fronts to sweep by. If so, the water temperatures could take a sharp drop, except for the extreme southeastern tip of florida.

Enjoy the water! Keep an eye on the tropics on my Tropicalweather.net weather message board. Please join the conversation!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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Peak of hurricane season

Posted by Hurricane Expert on September 15, 2010

Igor, Julia, Karl

Igor / Julia / Karl

September 10th is the climatological peak of the north Atlantic hurricane season. This year holds true with three tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin at this time. As of Wednesday morning, tropical storm Karl is about to make landfall south of Cozumel, Mexico. Hurricanes Igor and Julia are major hurricanes over the open Atlantic water. Igor will need to be watched though as forecasts call for it to come close to Bermuda by Sunday. Julia should remain over the open Atlantic waters.

Check out my forecasts below on my tropicalweather.net message boards if you will be taking a cruise or just have an interest in hurricanes. Thanks!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Facts about Lightning
Facts about Thunderstorms
Facts about Tornadoes

Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
Caribbean weather averages
weather channel

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Atlantic Hurricane season starts June 1

Posted by Hurricane Expert on May 27, 2010

Greg Long, Jamie Sterling

Greg Long, Jamie Sterling Surfing

The Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1.

NOAA predicts as many as 23 named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season, with three to seven becoming serious enough to be classified as major hurricanes. The agency worries that as many as 14 could turn into hurricanes.

On average, 10 storms are named of which 6 become hurricanes,, of those 2-3 become major hurricanes which is a category 3,4 or 5. Since 1997, the averages have increased to about 15 named storms of which 8 become hurricanes and of those 4 major hurricanes.

The reasoning behind the forecast is due to the fact that El Nino has weakened and a La Nina may be forming. There is a slight correlation between a La Nina event and upswing in activity.

Check my website on the latest hurricane forecasts. We simply do not copy the National Hurricane Center’s forecasts. We make our own forecasts and add expert opinion to the Hurricane Center’s forecast also. Check Tropicalweather.net’s forecasts before traveling to the tropics during hurricane season!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

More about Rich Johnson…
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Tropical Weather / Hurricane Forecasts / Travel
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
weather channel

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Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Starts Saturday

Posted by Hurricane Expert on May 12, 2010

caribbean beach

Caribbean Beach

That’s right, hurricane season is almost here….for the eastern Pacific. Saturday, May 15 is the start of the hurricane season for places like, Acalpulco, Cabo San Lucas and many other Mexican Resorts on the west coast. Check my hurricane updates on the central and eastern Pacific hurricane season. And just a reminder, the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season starts in two weeks. Make sure you start your preseason preparations now!

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

More about Rich Johnson…
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Tropical Weather / Hurricane Forecasts / Travel
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
weather channel

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Important changes to know about this upcoming hurricane season

Posted by Hurricane Expert on February 22, 2010

The National Hurricane Center is going to be doing things a little bit differently this season. There have been some changes to the way watches and warnings are disseminated to the public. I have written a short summary and have included a link on my tropical weather message board under the “eye of the storm” forum.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

More about Rich Johnson…
Weather / Hurricane Message boards
Tropical Weather / Hurricane Forecasts / Travel
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps
weather channel

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Caribbean weather during the winter

Posted by Hurricane Expert on January 1, 2010

Lazy Shelties

Lazy Shelties

With winter hurricanes and tropical storms becoming an extreme rarity in the Caribbean, what kind of weather can you expect? Usually winter and early spring is the driest time of year in the Caribbean. Rainfall drops from possibly 8-10 inches in the rainy season each month to about an inch or two. Cold fronts can venture well into the Caribbean and bring cooler weather with showers and storms.

Needless to say, with almost no chance of a hurricane and drier weather, the Caribbean is an excellent tourist destination. Why lay around the house like a couple of lazy dogs? Take a trip to the Caribbean.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

More about Me…
Expert Hurricane Forecasts
Tropicalweather.net
Sunrise / Sunset times
Beach water temps

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