2009 Hurricane Season ending

Florida Beach

The 2009 hurricane season officially ends November 30. This hurricane season fits the mold of the long term averages. For the 2009 season there were 10 named storms of which 3 became hurricanes and of those 2 major hurricanes. A category 3 or higher on the Saffir_Simpson scale is considered major.

In the Atlantic basin, long term averages show that there are about 10 named storms of which 6 become hurricanes and 3 of those major hurricanes. Since 1995 there has been a major upswing in tropical cyclone activity. During this period there has been an average of 15 named storms of which 8 became hurricanes and 4 of those major hurricanes.

The return of El Nino was the likely cause in the decrease in tropical cyclone activity, especially affecting the number of hurricanes that formed. The El Nino causes an increase in wind shear which creates a hostile environment for hurricane development in gerneral.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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“Hurricane Ida” in the Gulf of Mexico

Ida in the Gulf of Mexico

Excellent news for travelers and those living on the north Gulf of Mexico coast. Ida in reality is no longer a hurricane. There has been a tremendous transformation overnight of Ida’s structure. For the latest on the tropics please visit my hurricane message board.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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Ida almost a hurricane

Ida in the northwest Caribbean

Ida, now in the northwestern Caribbean Sea is about to reach hurricane strength again. It officially was briefly a minimal hurricane before making landfall in eastern Nicagarua. Will Ida threaten the U.S. ? Check my Atlantic hurricane update for the latest on the tropics.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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Ida likely to make a comeback…travelers beware.

Ida over Nicaragua

Ida developed in the southwestern Caribbean Sea in the monsoon trough. It quickly developed and moved into Nicaragua where it has been bringing heavy rain to the area. Officially classified as a minimal hurricane just before landfall, Ida has now weakened to a tropical depression over land.

As Ida heads back over the warm waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea it will likely strengthen again. Interests in the northwest Caribbean should follow the progress of Ida….which could be for another week. Check my Atlantic hurricane updates for the latest.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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Subtropical storm forming east of Bermuda?

Subtropical Low forming?

Typically by the time November is here the Atlantic hurricane season is about over. If any tropical cyclones form, its usually in the southwest Caribbean to east of the Bahamas into the central Atlantic.

That’s exactly what were observing now. A very strong upper low is threatening to gain some tropical characteristics. Head over to my Atlantic hurricane update to keep updated.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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Tropical weather picks up for mid October

Hurricane Rick

Eastern Pacific Hurricane Rick at this time is in the eastern Pacific, just far enough off of the coast to not cause any major problems. Top sustained winds are estimated at 180 mph. That makes it the second strongest hurricane on record in the eastern Pacific. Down the road a few days Los Cabos will need to deal with Rick, very possibly still a hurricane. Residents and visitors to Cabo San Lucas and the southern Baja in general should watch Rick closely. Rick is forecast to be in the area by Wednesday. For more on the Hurricane Rick check my Pacific hurricane update.

Caribbean A growing area of unsettled weather is in the western Caribbean Sea this Sunday morning. Some forecast models try to develop this tropical weather feature into the middle of next week. Check my Atlantic tropical weather update for the lastest on this system.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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Tropical activity picking up in Atlantic

Sail boat off of North Carolina Coast

After being unusually inactive during the peak of hurricane season, tropical activity is starting to pick up again.

Remember powerful hurricane Fred? Fred went down in the record books as the most powerful hurricane noted so far southeast in the Atlantic Ocean. Well, Fred may be making a visit to the northern Bahamas and Southeastern U.S. over the next couple of days. Don’t get worried though! What’s left of Fred is now only a strong tropical wave with showers and storms. Rain chances will increase in the northern Bahamas and Southeast U.S. with Fred’s remnants.

It looks like a new tropical depression has formed east of the Lesser Antillies. If strengthening continues it would be called Grace. For the latest on the tropical weather news please check out my hurricane forecasts.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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Watch northwestern Gulf Friday / Saturday

North Carolina Coast

Here we are at the climatological peak of hurricane season – September 10. On average you will have the best chance of finding a tropical storm or hurricane in the Atlantic basin near this time period. As of now we have Fred in the eastern Atlantic Ocean and maybe briefly something else closer to home in the Gulf.

For the latest on this new feature check out my expert hurricane forecasts on my message board link below.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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Will rain postpone tennis at the U.S. open ?

Scattered showers are inching toward Flushing Meadows after a long run of beautiful tennis weather for the U.S. Open. A low pressure area east of the Mid-Atlantic coast combined with high pressure over southeastern Canada has produced some breezy northeast winds over the past few days. The low is forecast to spin rain south of New York City during Thursday then arrive late Thursday or Thursday night into Friday. Showers may linger into early Saturday…..It looks like we will be watching some replay of Oudin / Federer / Williams or other cast of tennis favorites Friday.

Rich Johnson – CBM Certified Broadcast Meteorologist

Hurricane Jimena takes aim at the southern Baja

Hurricane Jimena south of Baja

The great majority of eastern north Pacific hurricanes curn their way harmlessly out to sea. Only fringe effects of rough surf or heavy rain bands venture onshore. Hurricane Jimena will be different. It was a strong category four on the Saffir-Simpson Scale, capable of doing extensive damage especially to substandard buildings.

Jimena is expected to make landfall Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning. It still may be a major hurricane before making landfall. Check my Pacific update for the latest on Jimena.

Rich Johnson – Tropicalweather.net

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